Each year, hundreds of international dignitaries, foreign policy officials and military advisors make their way to Halifax for the Halifax International Security Forum (HISF).
The public panel event hosted at pilipiliĀž» Thursday night (Nov. 21) ahead of the forumās official agenda didnāt focus on simply a narrow, military-focused definition of security. Instead, it was a sprawling, urgent conversation about the state of global democracy in 2019 and the perils represented by rising global populism.
āIt is generally used in the name of āwe, the pure peopleā,ā said panelist Janice Stein of the University of Torontoās Munk School of Global Affairs and Public Policy, offering a definition of the term.
ā[They are] revolting against ācorruptā elites: they can be financial elites, they can be political elites, institutional elites, who have rigged the system against āwe the people.ā One of ways that I know Iām in the presence of a populist leader is when he or she uses that language in opposition to the existing institutional structure.ā
If that story sounds familiar, it reflects the degree to which this populist thought has intersected with authoritarianism impulses to pose challenges to Western-style liberal democracy around the world. Freedom Houseās annual āFreedom in the Worldā report for 2018 noted that of the 41 countries it ranked as consistently āfreeā from 1985 to 2005, 22 have registered a net decline in freedom over the past five years.
āThe wave of hope and optimism following post-Cold War democratization across Europe is now, I would argue, being replaced by a sweeping global sense of despair for the future of democratic governance ā despair in light of the rise of the illiberal populism and authoritarian rule,ā said Frank Harvey, dean of Dalās Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences, in his opening remarks.
Global perspectives
The panel, titled āPopulism Peakedā was co-hosted by Dalhousieās Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences and Saint Maryās Faculty of Arts, and chaired by journalist, think-tank analyst and HISF Vice-President Robin Shepherd. Its participants offered the crowd of 200-plus gathered in the Student Union Buildingās McInnes Room perspective on democracy and populism from three different international perspectives.
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German Parliamentarian Roderich Kiesewetter, special representative for foreign affairs of the governing CDU/CSU group, spoke of how the rise of the Alternative for Germany party took place against the backdrop of refugee migration.
āUntil 2015, populism was not very popular in Germany,ā he said. āPopulism was a word which we apprehended for other countries, not for Germany. When the migration peaked in 2015, the Alternative for Germany ā a small party at the time ā changed its attitude; they were very Euro-skeptic, but then they were against migration. They succeeded, especially in Eastern Germany ā the number of migrants in that area is less than 1% of the population, but [the Alternative for Germany] gained about 30-35% in domestic elections.ā
In contrast, the sort of democracy Tolu Ogunlesi spoke about in his home country of Nigeria is so young ā roughly 20 years of unbroken democratic elections ā that he feels the sort of ideological divides that shape Western populism havenāt really taken hold; he feels the two major parties are largely indistinguishable. That said, he sees familiar echoes in the more chaotic elements of populism.
āItās very interesting to watch the west kind of come to terms with something thatās typically been associated with Africa,ā said Ogunlesi, special assistant to President Muhammadu Buhari of Nigeria on Digital and New Media and head of the Presidency Office of Digital Engagement (PODE). āTo see that struggle, how did we get here? Thereās almost the temptation to say, āWelcome to our world.āā
From Hong Kong to Ontario
Meanwhile, Emily Lau offered a window into one of democracyās most urgent battlegrounds at the moment: the streets of Hong Kong, where concern about a new extradition bill proposed by China resulted in frequent protests for much of the year.
āWe enjoy many of the trappings of democracy like freedom, personal safety, rule of law, independence of the judiciary,ā said Lau, a politician in Hong Kong who champions press freedom and human rights. āWe enjoy these things, in fact, much more than countries with periodic elections. Now, because of the extradition bill protest, everything is at stake, and people get more and more worried because of the police brutality and the Chinese governmentās tough stance that whatever we had after the last 20-30 years is at riskā¦
āWe want the world to watch and to be our friends and tell China to exercise restraint.ā
Through the panel discussion and the engaging Q&A that followed, the speakers discussed global trends, local interests and their own take on being optimistic or pessimistic about democracyās future. That question, noted Dr. Stein, is actually a pointed one: she says democracy breaks down when people lose optimism and feel like they have nothing to lose.
āWe have a populist premier in Ontario right nowā¦ the people who voted for him were pessimistic and felt they had very little to lose. Thatās why they voted for him. So I think the agenda forward is making sure people feel that they have a stake in the future, and thatās fair, that itās more than equal, and that they have something to lose if they disrupt the system.ā